I wrote this Wednesday night, when it was clear Ian would spare Tampa Bay most of its wrath, but still unclear if we’d lose power or take minor damage. We didn’t lose power and it seems like nothing major broke for us. As with all hurricanes, that’s not true of everyone, especially people to our south.
As I write this, in the 24 years we’ve lived in Florida, we’ve never experienced an actual hurricane. We’ve gone through tropical storms and had some mighty close calls (including this week). In fact, no one who’s lived in Tampa has experienced a hurricane in 100 years.
But having gone through some close calls and visited places that were hit, I know some stuff you might find interesting. So here’s a short Q&A to provide some information to those who don’t live in Satan’s Armpit USA.
Why did you stay through the storm?
Leaving is always an option, but it’s not always the best option. Our house was built to Dade County protocols–the building codes put in place after Hurricane Andrew. It’s designed to maintain integrity up to 140 miles an hour, about halfway up the category four scale. It would take a hurricane of historic strength to make our house a bad place to be.
In terms of storm surge, we’re a long ways inland. While the storm surge predicted for Ian would swamp a lot of downtown Tampa, it wouldn’t get close to us.
For most storms, we’re in the best place we could be.
Except maybe Orlando, or Georgia. Or really anywhere else.
Ian’s a great example of the folly of running to another spot in Florida. If it had hit Tampa Bay, Orlando would’ve been affected, but not heavily. But the change in track means Orlando got hit harder than Tampa. When Ivan hit in 2004, it was supposed to hit us. A neighbor sent their daughter to the grandparents’ place in Orlando–then Ivan went there. A minor change in track can put anywhere in Florida in danger.
But Georgia…
Ian first looked dangerous on Friday. By Saturday afternoon, some stations were out of gas. That number increased as the storm got closer. Most people have to work and have other responsibilities that prevent them from leaving several days ahead of time. It’s also not cheap to go live in a motel for the better part of a week.
By the time it becomes obvious you should go, gas and crowded highways are a problem. When Irma hit in 2017, a co-worker tried to leave, but reached the point of no return and couldn’t find gas. She had to come back. There’s only one way out of Florida–north. There are three major corridors north (I-95, I-75, and US 19) and millions of people itching to go. That equals traffic jams. No one wants to ride out a hurricane stuck in their car.
Even if you get to Georgia, there are only so many motel rooms.
Sometimes the best spot is home.
But I saw Tampa had mandatory evacuations…
If you live near the coast in Tampa, you might be in a letter-coded evacuation zone. Zone A is the most vulnerable, with problems from storm surges up to 11 feet. Zone E has issues with storm surges up to 38 feet (one more than Fenway Park’s Green Monster). Even a surge that high wouldn’t cause problems for most of Hillsborough County (where Tampa is). We live in Pasco County, just north of Hillsborough and not near an evacuation zone. Hillsborough County’s evacuation zone map is available here.
Why do you keep your car outside and put your patio furniture and stuff in the garage?
Wind won’t turn my car into a missile. Before we even had tropical storm force winds yesterday, someone had already lost their trampoline.
Why not just tape the windows?
Tape won’t help your window stand up to strong winds. It will be a mess to clean off the window afterward. Custom window covers are best, followed by plywood, but that requires you to drive nails into stucco walls.
Is it just the wind and storm surge?
That’s what you’ll see in the headlines, but a category 1 storm with minimal storm surge can cause a lot of damage if it moves slowly or stalls. Aside from the strength of Ian, some of the models early in the week had it effectively stalling out over the Tampa Bay area for a day and a half or so.
Even a tropical storm is a big deal. Is that correct?
It can be. A tropical storm has sustained winds between 39 and 74 miles an hour, enough to make you want to stay inside and cause power outages. But it’s not likely to cause large-scale wind damage, especially if you protect your windows. Though tropical storms can drop any amount of rain, though, so flooding is a possibility.
So the whole state gets whacked, right?
It depends on the size and path of the storm. For Charley in 2004, the bad damage was relatively narrow. As you drove into Arcadia, which was devastated by the storm, the band of significant damage was about five miles wide. Bigger storms have more damage, but you generally need a pretty direct hit for significant storm damage.
Though Irma went up the west coast of Florida, it was an enormous storm and caused damage on the east coast as well. In fact, parts of the east coast got more damage the parts of the Tampa Bay area.
At least the weather gets better pretty quickly after a storm.
Sure, on television.
After Irma, it was pretty pleasant outside for a couple days. After Charley, it was miserable. The weather usually doesn’t break in Florida (at least in the Tampa area) until mid-to-late October. Odds are good you won’t have tons of rain right after, but it will probably be uncomfortably hot and humid.
Was Jim Cantore nearby?
In case you don’t know, Jim Cantore is the stunt reporter for The Weather Channel. They send him to the places that are supposed to get hit hardest by hurricanes. He was in Clearwater Beach this week, probably enjoying Frenchy’s. He didn’t bring doom to the area. This time.
Why do you live there?
Because that’s where our jobs are. Tampa hasn’t had a major hurricane in a century. Even Andrew didn’t devastate all of the Miami area. Homestead got hammered, though. And many people decided to leave after the storm. If we went through something similar, we’d consider it, too. But everyplace has some sort of severe weather, from hurricanes, to earthquakes, to tornados, to very bad winter storms. The odds of an specific place getting hit are very slim.
As mentioned above, I’ve never actually been through a hurricane. Some of my answers may change if we ever do go through one.